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Your relying too much on limited supply which over time will become not so limited as caps get raised like always do plus quantity of people who can obtain and sell ffxiv gil

If you define expensive as 1 ffxiv gil then your going to be right

Actually what you meant to say is you 'think' I am wrong of which my response to that is I think you'll find out I am right. The price will drop 'a lot' over time and not 'a bit' because despite how hard it may be to obtain you have to factor in multiple elements which will reduce the prices like how much people are willing to pay in general when they could just ask friends to help them, cooperate or put in additional time to obtain themselves whether through re-specialization or creation of alt characters plus the quantity required will further drop how much people are willing to pay.

 

Your relying too much on limited supply which over time will become not so limited as caps get raised like always do plus quantity of people who can obtain and sell them ever increases once leveled their own classes and started farming them also. Yes some people will make some sales at high prices initially because the materials are new and people have only just started farming them but they too will be impacted by a continual drop in value as time goes on just like always does. In the end it will settle at a fraction of their current values given time.

As for your 'disgustingly expensive' comment, feel free to define your subjective value on what they should be worth. The items are currently very high in price only because it is new and people are trying to push their luck in asking a vast amount full in the knowledge it will drop drastically which is why they set it so high so will have more room between the highest estimate and what will eventually be the bottom price. They are relying on limited supply to begin with but that limitation will be impacted a lot of the coming weeks despite the cap on scripts.

 

The same happens every time new materials come out and in most cases they end up a fraction of their initial first time pricing. I think you will find the same will happen here and your free to believe what you want but I think in the long run your going to be wrong depending on what you define 'disgustingly expensive' as. If you define disgustingly expensive as 1 ffxiv gil then your going to be right but only if your valuation is disgustingly low.

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